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Serie A · Matchday 35Sunday 9 May · 17:30 · Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Napoli8th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Monza16th place
NAP 70%X 19%MON 11%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Napoli lead by 243 rating points.
  • If Napoli score first, they win 87% of the time
  • If Monza score first, they win 34% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.4 – 0.9
Over 2.563%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
170%1.43X19%5.14211%9.40
Double chance
1X89%1.12X230%3.321281%1.24
Goals
Over 2.563%1.58Under 2.537%2.72BTTS yes53%1.87BTTS no47%2.15

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Napoli · Columns: Monza2-0 probability 10.9%

Form

Compare →
NapoliWLDWL
MonzaLWLLL

Head to head

Monza – Napoli28 October 20261-4
Monza – Napoli19 April 20250-1
Napoli – Monza29 September 20242-0
Monza – Napoli7 April 20242-4
Napoli – Monza29 December 20230-0
Monza – Napoli14 May 20232-0