TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Serie A · Matchday 18Wednesday 6 January · 17:30 · Stadio Benito Stirpe
Frosinone6th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Bologna9th place
FRO 32%X 26%BOL 41%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Bologna take 2.1 points per game away.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Bologna 0.1, Frosinone -0.4.
  • If Frosinone score first, they win 59% of the time
  • If Bologna score first, they win 67% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.7
Over 2.562%
Both teams score65%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Bologna win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
132%3.09X26%3.79241%2.42
Double chance
1X59%1.70X268%1.481274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.562%1.60Under 2.538%2.66BTTS yes65%1.55BTTS no36%2.82

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Frosinone · Columns: Bologna1-1 probability 11.0%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Frosinone – Bologna7 April 20240-0
Bologna – Frosinone22 October 20232-1