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Serie A · Matchday 18Wednesday 6 January · 17:30 · Stadio Via del mare
Lecce14th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Parma18th place
LEC 40%X 31%PAR 29%

Prediction

  • If Lecce score first, they win 73% of the time
  • If Parma score first, they win 65% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 13%
Expected goals1.1 – 0.9
Over 2.535%
Both teams score42%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Lecce win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
140%2.50X31%3.27229%3.40
Double chance
1X71%1.42X260%1.671269%1.44
Goals
Over 2.535%2.90Under 2.565%1.53BTTS yes42%2.36BTTS no58%1.74

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Lecce · Columns: Parma1-1 probability 14.3%

Form

Compare →
LecceLWLLL
ParmaWLLLD

Head to head

Lecce – Parma11 January 20261-2
Parma – Lecce4 October 20250-1
Parma – Lecce31 January 20251-3
Lecce – Parma21 September 20242-2