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Serie A · Matchday 18Wednesday 6 January · 17:30 · Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore
Sassuolo15th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Udinese19th place
SAS 46%X 27%UDI 27%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Sassuolo -0.3, Udinese -1.1.
  • If Sassuolo score first, they win 72% of the time
  • If Udinese score first, they win 57% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.2
Over 2.554%
Both teams score58%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Sassuolo win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
146%2.18X27%3.72227%3.65
Double chance
1X73%1.38X254%1.841273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.554%1.84Under 2.546%2.19BTTS yes58%1.74BTTS no42%2.36

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Sassuolo · Columns: Udinese1-1 probability 12.3%

Form

Compare →
UdineseLLLDL

Head to head

Udinese – Sassuolo15 February 20261-2
Sassuolo – Udinese28 September 20253-1
Sassuolo – Udinese1 April 20241-1
Udinese – Sassuolo17 December 20232-2
Udinese – Sassuolo12 February 20232-2
Sassuolo – Udinese11 September 20221-3