TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Serie A · Matchday 18Wednesday 6 January · 17:30 · Stadio Pierluigi Penzo
Venezia20th place
Rinvalo prediction0-2High confidence
Roma3rd place
VEN 11%X 17%ROM 72%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Roma lead by 364 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Roma 2.2 points per game, Venezia 0.6.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Roma 0.9, Venezia -0.6.
  • If Venezia score first, they win 34% of the time
  • If Roma score first, they win 88% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals0.7 – 2.2
Over 2.556%
Both teams score46%
Likeliest score0-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
111%8.99X17%5.84272%1.39
Double chance
1X28%3.54X289%1.131283%1.21
Goals
Over 2.556%1.77Under 2.544%2.29BTTS yes46%2.16BTTS no54%1.86

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Venezia · Columns: Roma0-2 probability 13.0%

Form

Compare →
VeneziaLWLLL
RomaDWDWW

Head to head

Venezia – Roma9 February 20250-1
Roma – Venezia29 September 20242-1
Roma – Venezia14 May 20221-1
Venezia – Roma7 November 20213-2