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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Serie A · Matchday 18Wednesday 6 January · 17:30 · Allianz Stadium Turin
Juventus7th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Torino10th place
JUV 65%X 22%TOR 13%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Juventus lead by 116 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Juventus 0.8, Torino -0.3.
  • Derby match.
  • If Juventus score first, they win 86% of the time
  • If Torino score first, they win 42% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.9 – 0.7
Over 2.548%
Both teams score44%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
165%1.54X22%4.50213%7.75
Double chance
1X87%1.15X235%2.851278%1.29
Goals
Over 2.548%2.08Under 2.552%1.93BTTS yes44%2.28BTTS no56%1.78

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Juventus · Columns: Torino1-0 probability 13.4%

Form

Compare →
TorinoWWWLL

Head to head

Torino – Juventus24 May 20262-2
Juventus – Torino8 November 20250-0
Torino – Juventus11 January 20251-1
Juventus – Torino9 November 20242-0
Torino – Juventus13 April 20240-0
Juventus – Torino7 October 20232-0