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Premier League · Matchday 37Sunday 23 May · 15:00 · Craven Cottage
Fulham15th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Coventry City16th place
FUL 55%X 26%COV 19%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Fulham lead by 67 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Fulham 0.3, Coventry City -0.4.
  • If Fulham score first, they win 80% of the time
  • If Coventry City score first, they win 50% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.7 – 0.9
Over 2.548%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Fulham win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
155%1.80X26%3.89219%5.32
Double chance
1X81%1.23X245%2.251274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.548%2.10Under 2.552%1.91BTTS yes49%2.05BTTS no51%1.95

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Fulham · Columns: Coventry City1-1 probability 12.2%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Coventry City – Fulham24 October 20260-1
Fulham – Coventry City10 April 20221-3
Coventry City – Fulham2 October 20214-1