TR
Picks
Premier League · Matchday 37Sunday 23 May · 15:00 · City Ground
Nottingham Forest19th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Ipswich Town14th place
NFO 63%X 22%IPS 15%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Nottingham Forest lead by 94 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Nottingham Forest 0.6, Ipswich Town -0.4.
  • If Nottingham Forest score first, they win 83% of the time
  • If Ipswich Town score first, they win 42% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.1 – 0.9
Over 2.557%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
163%1.60X22%4.48215%6.62
Double chance
1X85%1.18X237%2.671278%1.29
Goals
Over 2.557%1.75Under 2.543%2.34BTTS yes53%1.88BTTS no47%2.14

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Nottingham Forest · Columns: Ipswich Town2-0 probability 10.7%

Head to head

Ipswich Town – Nottingham Forest23 October 20261-1
Ipswich Town – Nottingham Forest15 March 20252-4
Nottingham Forest – Ipswich Town30 November 20241-0