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Premier League · Matchday 37Sunday 23 May · 15:00 · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Tottenham9th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Manchester United17th place
TOT 37%X 28%MUN 35%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Tottenham 2.0 points per game, Manchester United 0.6.
  • If Tottenham score first, they win 66% of the time
  • If Manchester United score first, they win 64% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.4
Over 2.553%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Tottenham win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
137%2.69X28%3.59235%2.86
Double chance
1X65%1.54X263%1.591272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.553%1.90Under 2.547%2.11BTTS yes57%1.75BTTS no43%2.34

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Tottenham · Columns: Manchester United1-1 probability 12.8%

Form

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Head to head

Manchester United – Tottenham10 October 20261-1
Manchester United – Tottenham7 February 20262-0
Tottenham – Manchester United8 November 20252-2
Tottenham – Manchester United16 February 20251-0
Manchester United – Tottenham29 September 20240-3
Manchester United – Tottenham14 January 20242-2