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Mon 19:45ATA1-0PAR59%Mon 19:45LOR1-0BRE44%Mon 20:00DEP1-0OSA43%Mon 20:00NEW1-0EVE42%Mon 20:15BEN2-0ALV77%Mon 20:15GIL1-0VSC44%Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%
Serie A · Matchday 9Wednesday 28 October · 19:45 · Stadio Luigi Ferraris
Genoa11th place
Full time2-0Prediction wrong
Juventus7th place
GEN 16%X 24%JUV 60%

What does the market say?

GenoaDrawJuventusRinvalo16%24%60%
Market18%26%56%

✓ Agree · both back Juventus

Prediction

Predicted: 0-1
Key factors
  • Juventus lead by 187 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Juventus 2.0 points per game, Genoa 0.2.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Juventus 1.0, Genoa -0.6.
  • If Genoa score first, they win 47% of the time
  • If Juventus score first, they win 83% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals0.8 – 1.7
Over 2.546%
Both teams score45%
Likeliest score0-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
116%6.13X24%4.21260%1.67
Double chance
1X40%2.50X284%1.201276%1.31
Goals
Over 2.546%2.18Under 2.554%1.85BTTS yes45%2.21BTTS no55%1.82

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
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5
Rows: Genoa · Columns: Juventus2-0 probability 2.5% · final score

Form

Compare →
GenoaWLWWW

Head to head

Genoa – Juventus28 October 20262-0
Juventus – Genoa6 April 20262-0
Genoa – Juventus31 August 20250-1
Juventus – Genoa29 March 20251-0
Genoa – Juventus28 September 20240-3
Juventus – Genoa17 March 20240-0