TR
Picks
Mon 19:45ATA1-0PAR59%Mon 19:45LOR1-0BRE44%Mon 20:00DEP1-0OSA43%Mon 20:00NEW1-0EVE42%Mon 20:15BEN2-0ALV77%Mon 20:15GIL1-0VSC44%Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%
Serie A · Matchday 9Wednesday 28 October · 17:30 · Stadio Ennio Tardini
Parma18th place
Full time0-0Prediction wrong
Udinese19th place
PAR 30%X 30%UDI 40%

What does the market say?

ParmaDrawUdineseRinvalo30%30%40%
Market32%30%38%

✓ Agree · both back Udinese

Prediction

Predicted: 0-1
Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Udinese -0.1, Parma -0.8.
  • If Parma score first, they win 64% of the time
  • If Udinese score first, they win 72% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.0 – 1.2
Over 2.539%
Both teams score46%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Udinese win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
130%3.32X30%3.35240%2.50
Double chance
1X60%1.67X270%1.431270%1.43
Goals
Over 2.539%2.55Under 2.561%1.65BTTS yes46%2.16BTTS no54%1.86

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Parma · Columns: Udinese0-0 probability 11.4% · final score

Form

Compare →
ParmaWLLLD
UdineseLLLDL

Head to head

Parma – Udinese28 October 20260-0
Udinese – Parma18 April 20260-1
Parma – Udinese29 November 20250-2
Udinese – Parma1 March 20251-0
Parma – Udinese16 September 20242-3