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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Serie A · Matchday 9Wednesday 28 October · 17:30 · Stadio Pierluigi Penzo
Venezia20th place
Full time0-2Rinvalo's pick: 0-3✓ Result correct
Inter2nd place
VEN 6%X 12%INT 82%

What does the market say?

VeneziaDrawInterRinvalo6%12%82%
Market12%17%71%

✓ Agree · both back Inter

Prediction

Predicted: 0-3
Key factors
  • Inter lead by 384 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Inter 2.6 points per game, Venezia 0.0.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Inter 1.1, Venezia -0.5.
  • If Venezia score first, they win 22% of the time
  • If Inter score first, they win 92% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 2%
Expected goals0.8 – 3.2
Over 2.576%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score0-3
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
16%15.72X12%8.65282%1.22
Double chance
1X18%5.58X294%1.071288%1.13
Goals
Over 2.576%1.32Under 2.524%4.16BTTS yes55%1.83BTTS no45%2.20

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Venezia · Columns: Inter0-2 probability 9.2% · final score

Form

Compare →
VeneziaLWLLL
InterWWWWL

Head to head

Venezia – Inter28 October 20260-2
Venezia – Inter12 January 20250-1
Inter – Venezia3 November 20241-0
Inter – Venezia22 January 20222-1
Venezia – Inter27 November 20210-2