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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Serie A · Matchday 9Tuesday 27 October · 17:30 · Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore
Sassuolo15th place
Full time2-6Rinvalo's pick: 0-1✓ Result correct
Lazio1st place
SAS 33%X 28%LAZ 39%

What does the market say?

SassuoloDrawLazioRinvalo33%28%39%
Market28%27%45%

✓ Agree · both back Lazio

Prediction

Predicted: 0-1
Key factors
  • Lazio lead by 87 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Lazio 2.6 points per game, Sassuolo 1.4.
  • Lazio take 1.9 points per game away.
  • If Sassuolo score first, they win 63% of the time
  • If Lazio score first, they win 69% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.4
Over 2.547%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Lazio win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
133%3.07X28%3.56239%2.54
Double chance
1X61%1.65X267%1.481272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.547%2.12Under 2.553%1.90BTTS yes53%1.89BTTS no47%2.13

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Sassuolo · Columns: Lazio2-6 probability 0.0% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Sassuolo – Lazio27 October 20262-6
Lazio – Sassuolo9 March 20262-1
Sassuolo – Lazio14 September 20251-0
Lazio – Sassuolo26 May 20241-1
Sassuolo – Lazio21 October 20230-2
Lazio – Sassuolo3 May 20232-0