TR
Picks
Serie A · Matchday 9Tuesday 27 October · 19:45 · Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Torino10th place
Full time1-3Rinvalo's pick: 0-1✓ Result correct
Como4th place
TOR 20%X 24%COM 55%

What does the market say?

TorinoDrawComoRinvalo20%24%55%
Market21%25%54%

✓ Agree · both back Como

Prediction

Predicted: 0-1
Key factors
  • Como lead by 163 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Como 0.7, Torino -0.8.
  • Last 5 games: Como 2.0 points per game, Torino 0.8.
  • If Torino score first, they win 49% of the time
  • If Como score first, they win 79% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.0 – 1.8
Over 2.552%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Como win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
120%4.90X24%4.10255%1.81
Double chance
1X45%2.23X280%1.261276%1.32
Goals
Over 2.552%1.92Under 2.548%2.09BTTS yes53%1.89BTTS no47%2.12

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Torino · Columns: Como1-3 probability 5.8% · final score
TorinoWWWLL
ComoDWWWW

Head to head

Torino – Como27 October 20261-3
Como – Torino24 January 20266-0
Torino – Como24 November 20251-5
Como – Torino13 April 20251-0
Torino – Como25 October 20241-0