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Primeira Liga · Matchday 23Sunday 21 February · 16:00 · Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
Gil Vicente9th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1High confidence
Benfica2nd place
GIL 17%X 23%BEN 59%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Benfica lead by 229 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Benfica 1.5, Gil Vicente 0.2.
  • Benfica take 2.3 points per game away.
  • If Gil Vicente score first, they win 46% of the time
  • If Benfica score first, they win 82% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals0.9 – 1.8
Over 2.550%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score0-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
117%5.72X23%4.30259%1.69
Double chance
1X41%2.45X283%1.211277%1.30
Goals
Over 2.550%1.98Under 2.550%2.02BTTS yes50%2.02BTTS no50%1.98

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Gil Vicente · Columns: Benfica0-1 probability 11.6%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Benfica – Gil Vicente13 September 20263-1
Gil Vicente – Benfica2 March 20261-2
Benfica – Gil Vicente26 September 20252-1
Gil Vicente – Benfica28 March 20250-3
Benfica – Gil Vicente28 September 20245-1
Benfica – Gil Vicente4 February 20243-0