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Primeira Liga · Matchday 23Sunday 21 February · 16:00 · Estádio do Marítimo
Marítimo14th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Moreirense8th place
MAR 32%X 28%MOR 40%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Moreirense lead by 116 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Moreirense 2.0 points per game, Marítimo 0.2.
  • If Marítimo score first, they win 62% of the time
  • If Moreirense score first, they win 69% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.4
Over 2.550%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Moreirense win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
132%3.11X28%3.54240%2.53
Double chance
1X60%1.66X268%1.471272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.550%2.00Under 2.550%2.00BTTS yes55%1.82BTTS no45%2.23

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Marítimo · Columns: Moreirense1-1 probability 13.1%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Moreirense – Marítimo14 September 20263-1
Moreirense – Marítimo6 March 20220-1
Marítimo – Moreirense1 October 20210-0