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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Primeira Liga · Matchday 23Sunday 21 February · 16:00 · Estádio José Alvalade
Sporting CP3rd place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Famalicão11th place
SCP 70%X 19%FAM 10%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Sporting CP lead by 197 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Sporting CP 1.2, Famalicão -0.4.
  • Sporting CP take 2.0 points per game at home.
  • If Sporting CP score first, they win 88% of the time
  • If Famalicão score first, they win 35% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.2 – 0.8
Over 2.558%
Both teams score48%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
170%1.42X19%5.18210%9.67
Double chance
1X90%1.12X230%3.371281%1.24
Goals
Over 2.558%1.73Under 2.542%2.37BTTS yes48%2.08BTTS no52%1.93

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Sporting CP · Columns: Famalicão2-0 probability 12.5%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Famalicão – Sporting CP13 September 20261-1
Sporting CP – Famalicão15 February 20261-0
Famalicão – Sporting CP13 September 20251-2
Sporting CP – Famalicão15 March 20253-1
Famalicão – Sporting CP26 October 20240-3
Famalicão – Sporting CP16 April 20240-1