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Serie A · Matchday 11Sunday 8 November · 17:00 · Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Inter2nd place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Como4th place
INT 55%X 25%COM 20%

What's at stake

InterTitle76%68%60%
ComoTop 480%71%68%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Inter take 2.6 points per game at home.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Inter 1.6, Como 0.6.
  • If Inter score first, they win 79% of the time
  • If Como score first, they win 49% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.0
Over 2.555%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Inter win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
155%1.83X25%4.01220%4.90
Double chance
1X80%1.26X245%2.201275%1.33
Goals
Over 2.555%1.83Under 2.545%2.20BTTS yes55%1.82BTTS no45%2.22

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Inter · Columns: Como1-1 probability 11.6%

Form

Compare →
InterWWWWL
ComoDWWWW

Head to head

Como – Inter12 April 20263-4
Inter – Como6 December 20254-0
Como – Inter23 May 20250-2
Inter – Como23 December 20242-0