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Serie A · Matchday 11Friday 6 November · 19:45 · Stadio Pierluigi Penzo
Venezia20th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Udinese19th place
VEN 36%X 27%UDI 36%

What's at stake

VeneziaRelegation77%87%88%
UdineseRelegation36%45%54%

What does the market say?

VeneziaDrawUdineseRinvalo36%27%36%
Market43%27%30%

⚠ Split · Rinvalo Udinese 36%, market Venezia 43%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Udinese lead by 92 rating points.
  • The market differs: the home side 43%.
  • If Venezia score first, they win 66% of the time
  • If Udinese score first, they win 67% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.2
Over 2.545%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Udinese win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
136%2.76X27%3.66236%2.74
Double chance
1X64%1.57X264%1.571273%1.38
Goals
Over 2.545%2.20Market 55%Under 2.555%1.83Market 45%BTTS yes52%1.94Market 59%BTTS no48%2.07Market 41%

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Venezia · Columns: Udinese1-1 probability 13.8%

Form

Compare →
VeneziaLWLLL
UdineseLLLDL

Head to head

Udinese – Venezia1 February 20253-2
Venezia – Udinese30 October 20243-2
Venezia – Udinese10 April 20221-2
Udinese – Venezia27 August 20213-0