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Mon 19:45ATA1-0PAR59%Mon 19:45LOR1-0BRE44%Mon 20:00DEP1-0OSA43%Mon 20:00NEW1-0EVE42%Mon 20:15BEN2-0ALV77%Mon 20:15GIL1-0VSC44%Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%
Serie A · Matchday 11Saturday 7 November · 14:00 · Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Torino10th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Lecce14th place
TOR 49%X 28%LEC 23%

What's at stake

TorinoRelegation1%3%5%
LecceRelegation26%39%44%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Torino 1.8 points per game, Lecce 0.6.
  • Torino lead by 68 rating points.
  • If Torino score first, they win 77% of the time
  • If Lecce score first, they win 56% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.5 – 0.9
Over 2.543%
Both teams score48%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Torino win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
149%2.05X28%3.58223%4.28
Double chance
1X77%1.30X251%1.951272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.543%2.31Under 2.557%1.77BTTS yes48%2.09BTTS no52%1.92

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Torino · Columns: Lecce1-1 probability 13.3%

Form

Compare →
TorinoWWWLL
LecceLWLLL

Head to head

Torino – Lecce1 February 20261-0
Lecce – Torino30 November 20252-1
Lecce – Torino18 May 20251-0
Torino – Lecce15 September 20240-0
Torino – Lecce16 February 20242-0
Lecce – Torino28 October 20230-1