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Ligue 1 · Matchday 7Sunday 18 October · 16:15 · Stade Océane
Le Havre18th place
Full time1-3Rinvalo's pick: 1-0✕ Missed
Auxerre14th place
HAC 43%X 29%AUX 29%

What does the market say?

Le HavreDrawAuxerreRinvalo43%29%29%
Market41%28%31%

✓ Agree · both back Le Havre

Prediction

Predicted: 1-0
  • If Le Havre score first, they win 73% of the time
  • If Auxerre score first, they win 61% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.1
Over 2.543%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Le Havre win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
143%2.33X29%3.50229%3.51
Double chance
1X71%1.40X257%1.751271%1.40
Goals
Over 2.543%2.32Under 2.557%1.76BTTS yes49%2.04BTTS no51%1.97

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Le Havre · Columns: Auxerre1-3 probability 2.4% · final score

Form

Compare →
AuxerreWLWDL

Head to head

Le Havre – Auxerre18 October 20261-3
Le Havre – Auxerre5 April 20261-1
Auxerre – Le Havre26 October 20250-1
Auxerre – Le Havre4 May 20251-2
Le Havre – Auxerre1 September 20243-1