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Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Ligue 1 · Matchday 7Friday 16 October · 19:45 · Stade Marie-Marvingt
Le Mans17th place
Full time0-3Rinvalo's pick: 1-2✓ Result correct
Toulouse12th place
LMS 33%X 27%TFC 41%

What does the market say?

Le MansDrawToulouseRinvalo33%27%41%
Market32%27%41%

✓ Agree · both back Toulouse

Prediction

Predicted: 1-2
  • If Le Mans score first, they win 60% of the time
  • If Toulouse score first, they win 67% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.6
Over 2.559%
Both teams score62%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Toulouse win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
133%3.05X27%3.76241%2.46
Double chance
1X59%1.68X267%1.491273%1.36
Goals
Over 2.559%1.69Under 2.541%2.45BTTS yes62%1.61BTTS no38%2.64

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Le Mans · Columns: Toulouse0-3 probability 3.3% · final score

Form

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Le MansWLLDL

Head to head

Le Mans – Toulouse16 October 20260-3