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Ligue 1 · Matchday 7Sunday 18 October · 16:15 · Stade du Moustoir
Lorient10th place
Full time1-0Rinvalo's pick: 1-2✕ Missed
Monaco7th place
LOR 33%X 28%MON 39%

What does the market say?

LorientDrawMonacoRinvalo33%28%39%
Market27%27%46%

✓ Agree · both back Monaco

Prediction

Predicted: 1-2
Key factors
  • Monaco lead by 112 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Monaco 2.6 points per game, Lorient 1.0.
  • Monaco take 2.0 points per game away.
  • If Lorient score first, they win 62% of the time
  • If Monaco score first, they win 68% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.5
Over 2.553%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Monaco win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
133%3.07X28%3.53239%2.56
Double chance
1X61%1.64X267%1.481272%1.40
Goals
Over 2.553%1.89Under 2.547%2.12BTTS yes57%1.74BTTS no43%2.35

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Lorient · Columns: Monaco1-0 probability 7.3% · final score

Form

Compare →
LorientDLWWD
MonacoWDLDL

Head to head

Lorient – Monaco18 October 20261-0
Monaco – Lorient16 January 20261-3
Lorient – Monaco27 September 20253-1
Monaco – Lorient17 March 20242-2
Lorient – Monaco17 September 20232-2
Monaco – Lorient16 April 20233-1