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Ligue 1 · Matchday 29Saturday 24 April · 16:00 · Stade Marie-Marvingt
Le Mans17th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Le Havre18th place
LMS 38%X 28%HAC 35%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Le Mans 0.8 points per game, Le Havre 0.0.
  • If Le Mans score first, they win 67% of the time
  • If Le Havre score first, they win 64% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.3
Over 2.551%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Le Mans win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
138%2.66X28%3.62235%2.88
Double chance
1X65%1.53X262%1.601272%1.38
Goals
Over 2.551%1.96Under 2.549%2.04BTTS yes56%1.78BTTS no44%2.28

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Le Mans · Columns: Le Havre1-1 probability 13.0%

Form

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