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Ligue 1 · Matchday 29Saturday 24 April · 16:00 · Stade de la Meinau
Strasbourg12th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Rennes5th place
STR 42%X 26%REN 32%

Prediction

  • If Strasbourg score first, they win 66% of the time
  • If Rennes score first, they win 58% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals1.9 – 1.7
Over 2.570%
Both teams score70%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Strasbourg win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
142%2.40X26%3.86232%3.08
Double chance
1X68%1.48X258%1.711274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.570%1.44Under 2.530%3.29BTTS yes70%1.43BTTS no30%3.33

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Strasbourg · Columns: Rennes1-1 probability 9.5%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Rennes – Strasbourg25 October 20263-0
Strasbourg – Rennes19 April 20260-3
Rennes – Strasbourg2 November 20254-1
Rennes – Strasbourg2 February 20251-0
Strasbourg – Rennes25 August 20243-1
Strasbourg – Rennes31 March 20242-0