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Ligue 1 · Matchday 29Saturday 24 April · 16:00 · Allianz Riviera
Nice8th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Angers15th place
NIC 55%X 25%ANG 20%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Nice lead by 99 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Nice 2.4 points per game, Angers 0.8.
  • If Nice score first, they win 80% of the time
  • If Angers score first, they win 50% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.7 – 0.9
Over 2.547%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Nice win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
155%1.82X25%3.94220%5.12
Double chance
1X80%1.24X245%2.231275%1.34
Goals
Over 2.547%2.11Under 2.553%1.90BTTS yes49%2.05BTTS no51%1.95

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Nice · Columns: Angers1-1 probability 12.3%

Form

Compare →
NiceWWLWW
AngersWLLDL

Head to head

Angers – Nice14 March 20260-2
Nice – Angers7 December 20250-1
Nice – Angers20 April 20252-1
Angers – Nice1 September 20241-4
Angers – Nice2 April 20231-1
Nice – Angers18 September 20220-1