TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Ligue 1 · Matchday 29Saturday 24 April · 16:00 · Stade du Moustoir
Lorient10th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1High confidence
Paris Saint-Germain1st place
LOR 19%X 24%PSG 57%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Paris Saint-Germain lead by 203 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Paris Saint-Germain 3.0 points per game, Lorient 1.6.
  • Paris Saint-Germain take 2.3 points per game away.
  • If Lorient score first, they win 48% of the time
  • If Paris Saint-Germain score first, they win 80% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.0 – 1.8
Over 2.554%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Paris Saint-Germain win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
119%5.16X24%4.21257%1.76
Double chance
1X43%2.32X281%1.241276%1.31
Goals
Over 2.554%1.87Under 2.546%2.15BTTS yes53%1.87BTTS no47%2.14

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Lorient · Columns: Paris Saint-Germain1-1 probability 11.5%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Paris Saint-Germain – Lorient2 May 20262-2
Lorient – Paris Saint-Germain29 October 20251-1
Lorient – Paris Saint-Germain24 April 20241-4
Paris Saint-Germain – Lorient12 August 20230-0
Paris Saint-Germain – Lorient30 April 20231-3
Lorient – Paris Saint-Germain6 November 20221-2