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Ligue 1 · Matchday 13Saturday 5 December · 16:00 · Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Lens9th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Le Havre18th place
RCL 67%X 20%HAC 12%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Lens lead by 201 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Lens 1.8 points per game, Le Havre 0.0.
  • Lens take 2.3 points per game at home.
  • If Lens score first, they win 86% of the time
  • If Le Havre score first, they win 38% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.2 – 0.8
Over 2.557%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
167%1.48X20%4.89212%8.27
Double chance
1X88%1.14X233%3.071280%1.26
Goals
Over 2.557%1.75Under 2.543%2.33BTTS yes50%2.00BTTS no50%2.00

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Lens · Columns: Le Havre2-0 probability 11.9%

Form

Compare →
LensLWWWL

Head to head

Lens – Le Havre30 January 20261-0
Le Havre – Lens24 August 20251-2
Lens – Le Havre1 March 20253-4
Le Havre – Lens12 January 20251-2
Lens – Le Havre6 April 20241-1
Le Havre – Lens20 October 20230-0