TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Ligue 1 · Matchday 13Saturday 5 December · 16:00 · Stade de la Meinau
Strasbourg12th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Lorient10th place
STR 42%X 28%LOR 29%

Prediction

  • If Strasbourg score first, they win 71% of the time
  • If Lorient score first, they win 60% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.2
Over 2.552%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Strasbourg win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
142%2.37X28%3.53229%3.40
Double chance
1X71%1.42X258%1.731272%1.40
Goals
Over 2.552%1.94Under 2.548%2.07BTTS yes56%1.79BTTS no44%2.27

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Strasbourg · Columns: Lorient1-1 probability 12.8%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Lorient – Strasbourg26 April 20262-3
Strasbourg – Lorient14 December 20250-0
Strasbourg – Lorient18 February 20241-3
Lorient – Strasbourg17 December 20231-2
Lorient – Strasbourg3 June 20232-1
Strasbourg – Lorient13 November 20221-1