TR
Picks
Ligue 1 · Matchday 13Saturday 5 December · 16:00 · Stade Louis II
Monaco7th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Angers15th place
MON 66%X 21%ANG 13%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Monaco lead by 167 rating points.
  • Monaco take 2.0 points per game at home.
  • If Monaco score first, they win 86% of the time
  • If Angers score first, they win 39% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.1 – 0.8
Over 2.555%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
166%1.51X21%4.74213%7.90
Double chance
1X87%1.14X234%2.961279%1.27
Goals
Over 2.555%1.82Under 2.545%2.22BTTS yes49%2.04BTTS no51%1.96

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Monaco · Columns: Angers2-0 probability 12.1%
MonacoWDLDL
AngersWLLDL

Head to head

Monaco – Angers28 February 20262-0
Angers – Monaco18 October 20251-1
Angers – Monaco15 March 20250-2
Monaco – Angers1 November 20240-1
Angers – Monaco7 May 20231-2
Monaco – Angers30 October 20222-0