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Ligue 1 · Matchday 13Saturday 5 December · 16:00 · Stade Jean-Bouin
Paris FC4th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Le Mans17th place
PFC 70%X 19%LMS 11%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Paris FC lead by 159 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Paris FC 1.0, Le Mans -0.7.
  • Last 5 games: Paris FC 1.8 points per game, Le Mans 0.8.
  • If Paris FC score first, they win 88% of the time
  • If Le Mans score first, they win 34% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals2.3 – 0.8
Over 2.561%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
170%1.42X19%5.29211%9.34
Double chance
1X89%1.12X230%3.381281%1.23
Goals
Over 2.561%1.65Under 2.539%2.54BTTS yes51%1.97BTTS no49%2.03

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
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Rows: Paris FC · Columns: Le Mans2-0 probability 11.7%

Form

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