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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Ligue 1 · Matchday 13Saturday 5 December · 16:00 · Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Lille2nd place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Auxerre13th place
LIL 63%X 23%AUX 14%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Lille lead by 148 rating points.
  • If Lille score first, they win 85% of the time
  • If Auxerre score first, they win 43% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.8 – 0.7
Over 2.548%
Both teams score45%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
163%1.58X23%4.39214%7.17
Double chance
1X86%1.16X237%2.721277%1.29
Goals
Over 2.548%2.10Under 2.552%1.91BTTS yes45%2.24BTTS no55%1.80

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Lille · Columns: Auxerre1-0 probability 13.3%

Form

Compare →
LilleLWDDW
AuxerreWLWDL

Head to head

Lille – Auxerre17 May 20260-2
Auxerre – Lille14 December 20253-4
Lille – Auxerre20 April 20253-1
Auxerre – Lille10 January 20250-0
Auxerre – Lille22 April 20231-1
Lille – Auxerre7 August 20224-1