TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Ligue 1 · Matchday 13Saturday 5 December · 16:00 · Roazhon Park
Rennes5th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Brest10th place
REN 47%X 26%BRE 27%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Rennes lead by 61 rating points.
  • Rennes take 2.3 points per game at home.
  • If Rennes score first, they win 72% of the time
  • If Brest score first, they win 54% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.0 – 1.5
Over 2.566%
Both teams score67%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Rennes win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
147%2.11X26%3.89227%3.72
Double chance
1X73%1.37X253%1.901274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.566%1.51Under 2.534%2.96BTTS yes67%1.50BTTS no34%2.99

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Rennes · Columns: Brest1-1 probability 10.1%

Form

Compare →
RennesLWLWL
BrestLWDLW

Head to head

Brest – Rennes4 April 20263-4
Rennes – Brest13 December 20253-1
Rennes – Brest18 January 20251-2
Brest – Rennes19 October 20241-1
Rennes – Brest28 April 20244-5
Brest – Rennes2 September 20230-0