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Ligue 1 · Matchday 30Saturday 1 May · 16:00 · Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Lens9th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Le Mans17th place
RCL 73%X 18%LMS 10%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Lens lead by 192 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Lens 1.8 points per game, Le Mans 0.8.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Lens 0.2, Le Mans -0.7.
  • If Lens score first, they win 89% of the time
  • If Le Mans score first, they win 32% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.5 – 0.8
Over 2.564%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
173%1.37X18%5.70210%10.47
Double chance
1X90%1.11X227%3.691282%1.21
Goals
Over 2.564%1.55Under 2.536%2.81BTTS yes52%1.92BTTS no48%2.09

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Lens · Columns: Le Mans2-0 probability 11.2%

Form

Compare →
LensLWWWL
Le MansWLLDL

Head to head

Le Mans – Lens13 September 20262-2