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Ligue 1 · Matchday 30Saturday 1 May · 16:00 · Parc des Princes
Paris Saint-Germain1st place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Angers15th place
PSG 83%X 12%ANG 5%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Paris Saint-Germain lead by 315 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Paris Saint-Germain 3.0 points per game, Angers 0.8.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Paris Saint-Germain 1.0, Angers -0.4.
  • If Paris Saint-Germain score first, they win 94% of the time
  • If Angers score first, they win 22% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.8 – 0.6
Over 2.565%
Both teams score40%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
183%1.20X12%8.3025%20.66
Double chance
1X95%1.05X217%5.921288%1.14
Goals
Over 2.565%1.55Under 2.535%2.82BTTS yes40%2.49BTTS no60%1.67

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Paris Saint-Germain · Columns: Angers2-0 probability 13.8%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Angers – Paris Saint-Germain25 April 20260-3
Paris Saint-Germain – Angers22 August 20251-0
Paris Saint-Germain – Angers5 April 20251-0
Angers – Paris Saint-Germain9 November 20242-4
Angers – Paris Saint-Germain21 April 20231-2
Paris Saint-Germain – Angers11 January 20232-0