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Ligue 1 · Matchday 30Saturday 1 May · 16:00 · Roazhon Park
Rennes5th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Nice8th place
REN 56%X 24%NIC 20%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Rennes lead by 65 rating points.
  • Rennes take 2.3 points per game at home.
  • If Rennes score first, they win 78% of the time
  • If Nice score first, they win 47% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals2.0 – 1.2
Over 2.563%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Rennes win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
156%1.80X24%4.18220%4.90
Double chance
1X80%1.26X244%2.251276%1.31
Goals
Over 2.563%1.59Under 2.537%2.69BTTS yes61%1.63BTTS no39%2.59

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Rennes · Columns: Nice1-1 probability 10.3%

Form

Compare →
RennesLWLWL
NiceWWLWW

Head to head

Nice – Rennes30 October 20265-2
Nice – Rennes8 March 20260-4
Rennes – Nice26 October 20251-2
Rennes – Nice10 May 20252-0
Nice – Rennes3 January 20253-2
Rennes – Nice13 January 20242-0