TR
Picks
Championship · Matchday 10Wednesday 14 October · 20:00 · LNER Stadium
Lincoln City16th place
Full time0-6Rinvalo's pick: 1-2✓ Result correct
West Ham8th place
LIN 32%X 27%WHU 42%

What does the market say?

Lincoln CityDrawWest HamRinvalo32%27%42%
Market20%24%56%

✓ Agree · both back West Ham

Prediction

Predicted: 1-2
Key factors
  • West Ham lead by 71 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: West Ham 2.6 points per game, Lincoln City 1.6.
  • xG difference over the last 10: West Ham 1.0, Lincoln City 0.2.
  • If Lincoln City score first, they win 61% of the time
  • If West Ham score first, they win 69% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.5
Over 2.554%
Both teams score58%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a West Ham win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
132%3.15X27%3.76242%2.40
Double chance
1X58%1.71X268%1.471273%1.36
Goals
Over 2.554%1.85Under 2.546%2.17BTTS yes58%1.72BTTS no42%2.38

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Lincoln City · Columns: West Ham0-6 probability 0.0% · final score

Head to head

Lincoln City – West Ham14 October 20260-6