TR
Picks
Championship · Matchday 29Saturday 30 January · 15:00 · The Den
Millwall12th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
West Bromwich Albion5th place
MIL 45%X 28%WBA 27%

Prediction

  • If Millwall score first, they win 74% of the time
  • If West Bromwich Albion score first, they win 59% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.0
Over 2.543%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Millwall win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
145%2.23X28%3.53227%3.74
Double chance
1X73%1.37X255%1.811272%1.40
Goals
Over 2.543%2.32Under 2.557%1.76BTTS yes49%2.05BTTS no51%1.95

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Millwall · Columns: West Bromwich Albion1-1 probability 13.6%

Head to head

West Bromwich Albion – Millwall10 April 20260-0
Millwall – West Bromwich Albion4 October 20253-0
Millwall – West Bromwich Albion15 February 20251-1
West Bromwich Albion – Millwall5 October 20240-0
Millwall – West Bromwich Albion29 March 20241-1
West Bromwich Albion – Millwall23 September 20230-0