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Championship · Matchday 29Saturday 30 January · 15:00 · St. Mary's Stadium
Southampton2nd place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Preston North End24th place
SOU 75%X 17%PNE 8%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Southampton lead by 305 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Southampton 2.6 points per game, Preston North End 0.2.
  • Southampton take 2.4 points per game at home.
  • If Southampton score first, they win 90% of the time
  • If Preston North End score first, they win 30% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.5 – 0.8
Over 2.563%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
175%1.34X17%5.8328%12.30
Double chance
1X92%1.09X225%3.951283%1.21
Goals
Over 2.563%1.58Under 2.537%2.73BTTS yes49%2.03BTTS no51%1.97

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Southampton · Columns: Preston North End2-0 probability 12.0%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Preston North End – Southampton2 May 20261-3
Southampton – Preston North End1 November 20250-2
Southampton – Preston North End16 April 20243-0
Preston North End – Southampton25 October 20232-2