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Championship · Matchday 29Saturday 30 January · 15:00 · Carrow Road
Norwich City15th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Bristol City14th place
NOR 48%X 27%BRC 25%

Prediction

  • If Norwich City score first, they win 75% of the time
  • If Bristol City score first, they win 55% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.1
Over 2.552%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Norwich City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
148%2.07X27%3.71225%4.04
Double chance
1X75%1.33X252%1.931273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.552%1.94Under 2.548%2.07BTTS yes55%1.83BTTS no45%2.21

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Norwich City · Columns: Bristol City1-1 probability 12.5%

Form

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Head to head

Bristol City – Norwich City18 April 20262-4
Norwich City – Bristol City18 October 20250-1
Bristol City – Norwich City14 March 20252-1
Norwich City – Bristol City9 November 20240-2
Norwich City – Bristol City20 April 20241-1
Bristol City – Norwich City3 December 20231-2