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Championship · Matchday 29Saturday 30 January · 15:00 · bet365 Stadium
Stoke City7th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Portsmouth11th place
STK 37%X 30%POR 33%

Prediction

  • If Stoke City score first, they win 69% of the time
  • If Portsmouth score first, they win 66% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.1
Over 2.541%
Both teams score48%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Stoke City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
137%2.71X30%3.33233%3.03
Double chance
1X67%1.49X263%1.591270%1.43
Goals
Over 2.541%2.42Under 2.559%1.70BTTS yes48%2.07BTTS no52%1.93

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Stoke City · Columns: Portsmouth1-1 probability 14.1%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Stoke City – Portsmouth25 April 20261-3
Portsmouth – Stoke City25 October 20250-1
Portsmouth – Stoke City22 January 20253-1
Stoke City – Portsmouth2 October 20246-1