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Championship · Matchday 29Saturday 30 January · 15:00 · Swansea.com Stadium
Swansea City3rd place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Birmingham City6th place
SWA 39%X 28%BIR 32%

Prediction

  • If Swansea City score first, they win 69% of the time
  • If Birmingham City score first, they win 64% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.2
Over 2.545%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Swansea City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
139%2.55X28%3.51232%3.09
Double chance
1X68%1.48X261%1.641272%1.40
Goals
Over 2.545%2.23Under 2.555%1.81BTTS yes51%1.96BTTS no49%2.04

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Swansea City · Columns: Birmingham City1-1 probability 13.8%

Form

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Head to head

Swansea City – Birmingham City17 January 20261-1
Birmingham City – Swansea City20 September 20251-0
Birmingham City – Swansea City13 January 20242-2
Swansea City – Birmingham City5 August 20231-1
Swansea City – Birmingham City4 February 20233-4
Birmingham City – Swansea City8 November 20222-2