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Ligue 1 · Matchday 11Sunday 22 November · 14:00 · Stade Jean-Bouin
Paris FC4th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Angers15th place
PFC 69%X 20%ANG 11%

What does the market say?

Paris FCDrawAngersRinvalo69%20%11%
Market68%20%12%

✓ Agree · both back Paris FC

Prediction

Key factors
  • Paris FC lead by 163 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Paris FC 1.0, Angers -0.4.
  • Last 5 games: Paris FC 1.8 points per game, Angers 0.8.
  • The market also backs the home side (68%).
  • If Paris FC score first, they win 88% of the time
  • If Angers score first, they win 37% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals2.0 – 0.7
Over 2.551%
Both teams score43%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
169%1.44X20%5.04211%9.23
Double chance
1X89%1.12X231%3.261280%1.25
Goals
Over 2.551%1.97Market 62%Under 2.549%2.04Market 38%BTTS yes43%2.33Market 52%BTTS no57%1.75Market 48%

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
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Rows: Paris FC · Columns: Angers2-0 probability 13.9%

Form

Compare →
AngersWLLDL

Head to head

Paris FC – Angers25 January 20260-0
Angers – Paris FC17 August 20251-0