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Ligue 1 · Matchday 11Saturday 21 November · 19:45 · Stade de la Meinau
Strasbourg12th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Brest14th place
STR 45%X 27%BRE 28%

Prediction

  • If Strasbourg score first, they win 71% of the time
  • If Brest score first, they win 56% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.4
Over 2.562%
Both teams score64%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Strasbourg win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
145%2.20X27%3.74228%3.59
Double chance
1X72%1.39X255%1.831273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.562%1.60Under 2.538%2.66BTTS yes64%1.56BTTS no36%2.77

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Strasbourg · Columns: Brest1-1 probability 10.9%

Form

Compare →
BrestLLWDL

Head to head

Brest – Strasbourg13 May 20261-2
Strasbourg – Brest30 November 20251-2
Strasbourg – Brest23 February 20250-0
Brest – Strasbourg30 November 20243-1
Strasbourg – Brest24 February 20240-3
Brest – Strasbourg7 December 20231-1