TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Ligue 1 · Matchday 11Friday 20 November · 19:45 · Stade de l'Aube
Troyes16th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Le Havre18th place
ETG 37%X 29%HAC 35%

What does the market say?

TroyesDrawLe HavreRinvalo37%29%35%
Market44%28%29%

✓ Agree · both back Troyes

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Troyes 0.8 points per game, Le Havre 0.0.
  • The market also backs the home side (44%).
  • If Troyes score first, they win 68% of the time
  • If Le Havre score first, they win 66% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.2
Over 2.544%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Troyes win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
137%2.72X29%3.50235%2.88
Double chance
1X65%1.53X263%1.581271%1.40
Goals
Over 2.544%2.27Market 55%Under 2.556%1.79Market 45%BTTS yes51%1.98Market 58%BTTS no49%2.02Market 42%

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Troyes · Columns: Le Havre1-1 probability 13.9%

Form

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TroyesLLLDW