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Championship · Matchday 20Wednesday 9 December · 19:45 · Deepdale
Preston North End24th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Portsmouth11th place
PNE 29%X 29%POR 42%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Portsmouth lead by 150 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Portsmouth 2.2 points per game, Preston North End 0.2.
  • If Preston North End score first, they win 61% of the time
  • If Portsmouth score first, they win 72% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.4
Over 2.544%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Portsmouth win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
129%3.49X29%3.46242%2.36
Double chance
1X58%1.74X271%1.401271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.544%2.26Under 2.556%1.79BTTS yes50%2.00BTTS no50%2.00

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Preston North End · Columns: Portsmouth1-1 probability 13.7%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Preston North End – Portsmouth7 February 20261-0
Portsmouth – Preston North End30 August 20251-0
Preston North End – Portsmouth15 March 20252-1
Portsmouth – Preston North End9 November 20243-1