TR
Picks
La Liga · Matchday 29Sunday 21 March · 16:00 · Campos de Sport de El Sardinero
Racing Santander16th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
Real Betis4th place
RAC 23%X 23%BET 54%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Real Betis lead by 174 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Real Betis -0.2, Racing Santander -1.1.
  • Last 5 games: Real Betis 1.6 points per game, Racing Santander 0.8.
  • If Racing Santander score first, they win 48% of the time
  • If Real Betis score first, they win 76% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals1.4 – 2.2
Over 2.569%
Both teams score67%
Likeliest score1-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
123%4.36X23%4.36254%1.85
Double chance
1X46%2.18X277%1.301277%1.30
Goals
Over 2.569%1.45Under 2.531%3.21BTTS yes67%1.49BTTS no33%3.03

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
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Rows: Racing Santander · Columns: Real Betis1-2 probability 9.3%