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La Liga · Matchday 29Sunday 21 March · 16:00 · Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Sevilla6th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Elche17th place
SEV 47%X 27%ELC 26%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Sevilla take 2.0 points per game at home.
  • If Sevilla score first, they win 74% of the time
  • If Elche score first, they win 56% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.1
Over 2.552%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Sevilla win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
147%2.14X27%3.64226%3.89
Double chance
1X74%1.35X253%1.881273%1.38
Goals
Over 2.552%1.93Under 2.548%2.08BTTS yes55%1.81BTTS no45%2.24

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Sevilla · Columns: Elche1-1 probability 12.6%

Form

Compare →
SevillaLDLWL
ElcheWDDWL

Head to head

Elche – Sevilla19 January 20262-2
Sevilla – Elche12 September 20252-2
Elche – Sevilla24 May 20231-1
Sevilla – Elche28 January 20233-0
Sevilla – Elche11 February 20222-0
Elche – Sevilla28 August 20211-1