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La Liga · Matchday 29Sunday 21 March · 16:00 · Estadio de Mestalla
Valencia19th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Deportivo8th place
VAL 43%X 29%DEP 28%

Prediction

  • If Valencia score first, they win 73% of the time
  • If Deportivo score first, they win 61% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.0
Over 2.542%
Both teams score48%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Valencia win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
143%2.32X29%3.42228%3.63
Double chance
1X72%1.38X257%1.761271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.542%2.38Under 2.558%1.73BTTS yes48%2.08BTTS no52%1.93

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Valencia · Columns: Deportivo1-1 probability 13.8%

Form

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Head to head

Deportivo – Valencia30 August 20263-1