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Championship · Matchday 22Saturday 19 December · 15:00 · St. Mary's Stadium
Southampton2nd place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Blackburn Rovers13th place
SOU 69%X 20%BLB 11%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Southampton lead by 173 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Southampton 0.2, Blackburn Rovers -0.9.
  • Southampton take 2.4 points per game at home.
  • If Southampton score first, they win 87% of the time
  • If Blackburn Rovers score first, they win 36% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.2 – 0.7
Over 2.556%
Both teams score47%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
169%1.45X20%5.04211%9.13
Double chance
1X89%1.12X231%3.251280%1.25
Goals
Over 2.556%1.80Under 2.544%2.25BTTS yes47%2.12BTTS no53%1.90

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Southampton · Columns: Blackburn Rovers2-0 probability 12.7%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Southampton – Blackburn Rovers14 April 20263-0
Blackburn Rovers – Southampton25 October 20252-1
Blackburn Rovers – Southampton6 April 20240-0
Southampton – Blackburn Rovers16 December 20234-0